| Poker Odds |
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| Written by Administrator |
| Monday, 08 December 2008 05:42 |
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This this section does not include information on implied odds which are rather important but will be covered later. Keep in mind that implied odds must also be learned and understood, especially in no limit cash games and no limit tournaments. However, by reading below you will understand the basics of pot odds, and be able to quickly figure out either at a live poker table or playing online your pot odds. Some say poker is a game of luck, while others defend it as a sport. We say you can play poker as a game of luck and lose a lot of money, or apply your intellect to it and start reaping pots like never before. By applying the laws of probability to your poker game you will make more educated decisions and gain an indisputable edge over players who see poker as mere "gambling." For those completely unfamiliar with odds, let's take this from the very top. Imagine a standard coin with the usual two sides: heads and tails. In terms of odds the chance of you tossing tails is "two to one" - spelled 2:1 - since there are TWO options available (heads and tails) and ONE way you can get your desired outcome (heads.) Piece of cake? Indeed! Now think of a standard 6-sided dice, and calculate the odds of throwing a 5. If you said 6 to 1 you were absolutely right! Now for a tad of math: if you want a percentage all you have to do is divide the small number by the large one and multiply by 100. In the case of the coin you have odds of 2:1, so divide 1 by 2 (calculator allowed) and you'll get 0.5. Multiply by 100 and you get 50, which means that odds are 50% that you'll toss heads. Use the same procedure for the die and you will get odds of 16.6% (or 17% if you're in a hurry.) Are you ready to advance to the next level? Let's summarize what we know so far: the odds of something happening are That was easy, wasn't it? Let's try a slightly more difficult case - after the flop you have 2 pair, and are now aiming for a boat. For the sake of the example let's say you have a pair of 6 and a pair of Kings. Since either a 6 or a King will complete your full house, you have 4 outs: the two remaining sixes and the two remaining Kings. Of course you would prefer a King, but beggars can't be choosers and we are only counting outs anyway. If you have two pairs, you have 4 outs for making a full boat. Let's think of straights now, shall we? There are those nasty little inside straights that keep you on the edge of your chair for the whole hand; let's say 7, 9, 10, J for this example. All you need to be happy is an 8, and there are 4 of those in every normal deck, which leaves you with 4 outs. On the other hand, if you have a friendlier open-ended straight such as 8, 9, 10, J you could complete your hand with either a 7 or a Q. Every deck is supposed to have 4 of each of those, which leaves you sitting pretty with 8 outs. Flushes are very generous when it comes to odds. If after the flop you find yourself with 4 cards of the same suit, lady Luck could well be smiling at you: since there are 13 cards of each suit, and 4 are already out there, the remaining 9 must be still in the deck trying to find their way to you. If you hold 4 to the flush, you have a whopping 9 outs, which is not bad at all. But odds-wise, possibly the best hand you can hold is an open straight flush draw, the one that is open for almost everything, say 7, 8, 9, 10 all Hearts. Your flush draw has 9 outs, as we just found out, and an open straight draw has 8. However, we must take into account that the 6 and Jack of Hearts have been counted twice: once as part of all remaining Hearts (for the flush) and once as outs for the straight. So the total number of outs for an open straight flush draw is 9 + 8 - 2 = 15 outs.
On the second part of this series you will learn how to calculate combined odds and pot odds, and how to apply these ratios to your decision-making process. Use your brains at the tables and become a shark in no time! Written by M del Mar. This article was published courtesy of PokerSourceOnline.com
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| Last Updated on Tuesday, 09 December 2008 17:20 |
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